Dr. Fred Carr

(The University of Oklahoma)

“Can the U.S. Become the World Leader in Numerical Weather Prediction?”

What HusseyLecture Meteo Colloquium Homepage GR
When Apr 18, 2018
from 03:30 pm to 04:30 pm
Where John Cahir Auditorium 112 Walker Building
Contact Name David Stensrud
Contact email
Add event to calendar vCal

Fred Carr OU Hussey

It is well-known that the U.S. skill in numerical weather prediction (NWP), as measured by NCEP’s Global Forecast System (GFS), lags behind other centers, most notably the ECMWF.  In this talk, we will discuss some of the reasons for this discrepancy and provide a potential path forward for the U.S. to match or surpass ECMWF accuracy.  In doing so, we will examine the history of U.S. NWP, the selection process for the new dynamic core for NCEP’s global model, current status of convection-allowing models and ensemble forecasting, and the opportunity NCEP has to make rapid progress.